Texans vs. Colts Prediction, Player Prop Bets & Odds for Saturday, 1/6
The first of two AFC South rivalries this weekend kicks off Saturday night with the Houston Texans in Indianapolis to face the Colts. The winner clinches a playoff berth, so it’s safe to say that this is a pivotal matchup. With that in mind, we’ve provided both our best Texans vs. Colts prediction and player prop bets.
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TEXANS VS. COLTS PREDICTION: Houston Money Line (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Prediction for Saturday's Game
Things are quite straightforward for Houston and Indy, as the winner clinches a postseason spot. However, this matchup provides unique situations for other teams in the AFC, and even a tie impacts things in a wild way.
That may seem strange to mention, but these teams tied as recently as 2022. That was followed by a one-point victory for Houston nearly exactly a year ago to the day. We’re mentioning these results to help explain why we’re taking Houston’s money line rather than the 1.5-point spread with our Texans vs. Colts prediction.
We’re playing it a bit safer while also backing the team that we’re expecting to win the game. As long as rookie QB CJ Stroud is under center - who no longer even has an injury designation - we’ll be supporting Houston. He’s been an absolute stud, and his importance was on full display the past few weeks.
After struggling without him and even losing by 14 at home, his return saw the Texans crush a different AFC South opponent - the Tennessee Titans - by 23 this past weekend. We’re willing to admit that it’s not going to be easy, but we trust Stroud more than Indy QB Gardner Minshew. Therefore, our best Texans vs. Colts prediction is Houston’s money line (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Player Prop Bets & Picks for Texans vs. Colts Featuring Devin Singletary & Michael Pittman Jr.
Given the close games we mentioned above breaking down our Texans vs. Colts prediction, we understand if you don’t want to sweat out picking a winner. So, we also have Texans vs. Colts player prop bets for you.
First up is Houston RB Devin Singletary. That may seem surprising given that Houston has had a dynamic passing attack and a revolving backfield. However, the former Buffalo Bill has taken the reins, and looked great doing so. The Texans fed him 16 carries last weekend for 80 yards, and that is where teams have been exploiting the Colts.
Indy is allowing the sixth-most rushing yards per game (127.8/game), and Houston is less likely to have Stroud take many QB draws given his recent injuries. The Las Vegas Raiders also knew this weakness last weekend against the Colts, rushing backup Zamir White 20 times for 71 yards against them.
Therefore, we’re starting our Texans vs. Colts player prop bets with Devin Singletary over 63.5 rushing yards (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Next up is Indy WR Michael Pittman Jr. We expect Minshew to need to sling the rock on Saturday night, as Houston’s rushing defense has been fantastic. They’re tied with the San Francisco 49ers for the third-fewest rushing yards allowed (88.5/game), which is elite company to be in.
While we considered targeting Indy RB Jonathan Taylor to go under his rushing prop for our Texans vs. Colts player prop bets, we’ve already seen backup RB Zack Moss perform surprisingly well. So, we’re instead going to ride the hot hand that has been Pittman. Not only has Minshew been connected with him recently, but he also looked strong against Houston earlier this season.
When these teams met back in September, he had eight receptions on 12 targets. However, he isn’t always the most explosive pass-catcher, so rather than his yardage prop, we’re going with Michael Pittman Jr. over 6.5 receptions (-150 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
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Betting Odds, Lines & Spread for Texans vs. Colts With DraftKings
We’ve shared the latest Texans vs. Colts odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, and using those prices, a $120 bet on our Texans vs. Colts prediction profits $100 as long as Houston wins the game by any amount.
Point spread:
- Houston Texans -1.5 (-108) vs. Indianapolis Colts +1.5 (-112)
Money line:
- Houston Texans (-120) vs. Indianapolis Colts (+100)
Total (over/under):
- Over 47.5 (-110) vs. Under 47.5 (-110)
Devin Singletary rushing yards:
- Over 62.5 (-115) vs. Under 62.5 (-115)
Michael Pittman Jr. receptions:
- Over 6.5 (-150) vs. Under 6.5 (-120)
We also have a payout breakdown for our Texans vs. Colts player prop bets. A $115 bet on Devin Singletary profits $100 as long as he has 63 rushing yards or more, while a $150 bet on Michael Pittman Jr. profits $100 as long as he has at least seven receptions.
Injury Report for Texans vs. Colts on 1/6
As with any matchup, it’s important to note key injuries, and we’ve shared the concerns for both teams below:
- Noah Brown (HOU Texans)
- Robert Woods (HOU Texans)
- Andrew Beck (HOU Texans)
- Laremy Tunsil (HOU Texans)
- Will Anderson Jr. (HOU Texans)
- Maliek Collins (HOU Texans)
- Sheldon Rankins (HOU Texans)
- Jonathan Greenard (HOU Texans)
- Quentin Nelson (IND Colts)
- Ryan Kelly (IND Colts)
Texans Playoff Scenarios
As complex as some of the playoff scenarios are around the NFL this weekend, things are simple for CJ Stroud and company: win and you’re in. Of course, that high-level motivation is a large part as to why our Texans vs. Colts prediction is focused on Houston, and you can back them to while claiming $150+ in guaranteed bonuses when you become a new member at DraftKings today.
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